Promise details .. This is how Iran’s strength in Syria collapsed!

A report reported by the European Center for Anti -Terrorism and Intelligence Studies in Berlin revealed that Iran had until December 7, 2024, up to 10,000 Iranian Revolutionary Guards soldiers in Syria, and 5,000 other soldiers from the army, in addition to thousands of militia members Armed supported by Tehran.

Iran also owned 55 military rulers in Syria, in addition to 515 points for loyal gunmen.

On the Syrian soil, about 830 foreign military sites, 70% of which were affiliated with Iran, or 570 sites that Tehran lost today. According to several sources, Iran has spent more than $ 60 billion to keep the former Syrian regime in power.

The Islamic Republic was the first country to send “military advisers” to Syria in 2011 to help the former Syrian president against the opposing armed factions.

According to the former commander of the Revolutionary Guards, political analyst Hussein Kanani Model, “Iran was betrayed by the Syrian army,” noting that his country is the greatest loser of the fall of Bashar al -Assad. He sees in the surprising overthrow of the Syrian regime the loss of a basic link in the “Axis of Resistance”, Tehran-Baghdad-Damascus-Beirut, which was equipped over 45 years.

Will Iran come back?

The researcher at the European Center for Anti -Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Basma Fayed, stated that the extensive Iranian military infrastructure in Syria collapsed with the fall of the regime of former President Bashar al -Assad, which represents a strong blow to the Tehran strategy to impose its strength in the Middle East, amid the growing regional and international concerns of ways That Tehran may follow to preserve its interests in light of political changes.

Iran withdrew all members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards from Syria, as well as fighters of armed groups from Pakistani, Afghan, Iraqis, Lebanese and Syrians, to the border town of Al -Qaim on the Iraqi side. Also, some Iranian elements in Damascus returned to Tehran, while Hezbollah fighters returned to Lebanon, where they were forced to leave large quantities of military equipment and weapons, many of which were later destroyed in Israeli air strikes, or was seized by the organization of the Headquarters for the Liberation of Al -Sham and armed groups Others have been resolved recently.

Barbara Lev, a senior official at the US State Department for Middle East Affairs, said that the strategic terrain in Syria is now very hostile to the return of the Iranians militarily, but this does not mean that they will not try to re -introduce themselves.

Unlike Iran’s leaders, who reduced the size of the strategic loss that their country is in Syria, the dean in the Iranian army recognizes the Heroz Asbati “we received a very strong blow and it was very difficult”, revealing that Iran’s relations with the former Syrian regime were tense, which led to the overthrow of it. He rejected multiple requests to Iran -backed groups to open a front against Israel from Syria.

Observers warn that Iran will continue to support its agents in the Middle East, but this does not hide the fact that Tehran’s financial and military residue has decreased significantly. Iran is also afraid of internal repercussions as well as losing its influence in Syria.

The return of momentum to the Iranian opposition

According to researcher Anis Lovalua, of the Institute for Research and Studies on the Mediterranean and the Middle East, the fall of the Syrian regime concerns the Iranian regime facing internal opposition, which was weakened by the Israeli bombing. She believes that “the Revolutionary Guards are steadfast so far, but what happened can be returned to the popular protest movement in Iran.”

The European Center for Anti -Terrorism and Intelligence Studies in Berlin warned that Iran will not give up its ambitions in regional domination, and it seems that it may seek to strengthen relations with jihadist groups that intend to continue jihadist activities against Israel from Syrian territory. It can also be assumed that Iran will seek to restore the channels of its influence in Syria by exploiting its relations with the leadership of al -Qaeda.

Likewise, Iran will seek to change its strategy, to maintain its influence by preventing the establishment of a new and stable system in Syria, as it has previously supported forces that destabilized in Iraq and Afghanistan to confront American influence and impose its strength.

The researcher at the center of Fayed stated that it is not likely that the new Syrian leadership of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards allows the renewal of its military presence in Syria in the near future. With the start of the balance of power in the region against the interest of the Iranian regime, calls from the Iranian opposition are escalating to impose the utmost pressure on Tehran by taking advantage of the lion’s fall waterfall.

The Tehran regime’s dismissals hope that international pressure will contribute to accelerating its fall.

In the context, Maryam Rajavi, President of the National Council for Iranian Resistance, said, days before Paris, that “international leaders should stand by the Iranian people, instead of appeals to the mullahs.” (Al -Jazeera Net)


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