Lebanon today »Lebanon is in front of shocking numbers … It is the worst in the past 80 years!

“What is in May” .. This is the tongue of the Lebanese in the recent period, amid the transformation of the winter into “semi -summer” with shy rains that will soon fall until it returns and disappears. In the “country of water”, we suffer from an unprecedented drought so that the situation has become in the wind with a historical scarcity that reflects negatively on various aspects of daily life. This dry wave is a worrying sign amid suffering from the warlords of the war and a continuous economic crisis, as it is an indication of the escalating effects of climate change, as the hydrological cycle for the regeneration of tanks and groundwater supplies is disrupted, which increases the risks of public health, hinders agriculture and deepens food insecurity and increases the risk of forest fires in the fires of forest fires in summer. What are the reasons? What is waiting for us in the coming months?

The head of the air estimates department at Beirut Airport, Mohamed King, attributes the reason for the control of the air heights on our region, which prevented the effective depressions, explaining in an interview with MTV that “all the depressions that we affected this year were not crossed through the traditional gate, that is, the gate of Turkey – Cyprus – Lebanon, but it was passing through Egypt – North Africa and a warm region there, as it lost its coldness and the amount of rain, which leads to light rain that does not extend its duration due to its escape from the cold mother block. He continues: “The effective depressions that usually strike Lebanon, come through the gate of Turkey and remain connected with the mother polar bloc, and this is what fed it and ships it with cold and moisture and remains longer in our region. This year, we did not witness effective but short, warm, scarce, rainy and non -gesture depressions, so we did not see snowfall under the 1500 meters, but the “jar will be broken” as of Wednesday. “

What will happen? King reveals, “We will see from Wednesday the first snowstorm that will strike Lebanon, which the Meteorological Authority called“ Aseel ”and we will witness a snowfall and a rains. And snow begins with falling from a height of 1500 meters and declines on Wednesday evening to touch the 1000 meters, while Thursday morning is the most cold and will witness a snow at a height of 900 meters and may touch the 700 meters in the northern regions. weekend.

As for the scarcity of rain and unprecedented drought, King says: “This year is one of the scarce years that is among the worst 5 years in the 80 years registered with the Department of Meteorology, and the reason is due to the fact that January, which usually constitutes about 25 percent of Winter, the rain rate has reached 191 mm. In Beirut, the rains fell up to 18 mm, or less than 10 percent of the average, and this led to a great loss in the winter this year, because this month is usually the largest amount of rain.
He also notes that “January 2025 was warm with temperatures that exceeded their normal levels with an atmosphere controlling the eastern basin of the Mediterranean, while all depressions were in the western basin and average Mediterranean, and this increased the scarcity of water in Lebanon. In Zahle, for example, the amount of rain that has fallen up to now is 150 millimeters at a time when the normal rate reaches approximately 405 mm, and last year it reached 530 mm. Also in Beirut, this year the level reached 260 millimeters so far, while the rate is 530 – 540 mm, while last year the capital witnessed rains about 840 mm.
In a simplified manner, the King explains: “One millimeter is equivalent to a liter of water on each square meter, that is, if the rains fall up to 10 millimeters, as if it was dispersed on every square meter in Lebanon, up to 10 water packages, each package is a liter.” He adds: “It is clear that the amount of rain this season will not reach the natural average that we were witnessing previously, because the fluctuations in February are limited, even if we witnessed depressions and storms such as“ Aseel ”that will not be prolonged and will last about 30 hours between Wednesday and Thursday, then some happen Simple breakthroughs, while the fluctuations continue until Monday. ”

He says that “February and March constitutes 30 percent of the descending percentage, (February 130 mm and March up to 110 mm). As a general average, the fallacies until today reached 260 mm out of 825 mm (the rainy year from September until the end of August). At most, it can reach the limits of 400 or 450 mm, unless a miracle and whitening of March are dissolved with rain and more than expected snow, this will be useful for people but harms the agricultural season. .

As a result of climate change, did we lose our moderate weather and the four seasons? The head of the airport estimates at the airport believes that “the period of summer affected, and the spring and autumn semester took from the winter period, which has shrunk at the expense of the summer,” explaining that the fall now begins in late September and the spring semester begins early, and this shows that the winter is in our region He began to shrink.


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