Lebanon today »Hezbollah towards holding the state responsible for defense?


Hezbollah does not want to open a battle in the current circumstance for several reasons. The first is that the regional and international circumstance is no longer appropriate to achieve any actual victory or achievement. As for the second reason, it is the party receiving great strikes, knowing that it works accelerated to restore its strategic capabilities that fought the war. The latter is almost without it, and accordingly, the development in the military structure, whatever its size, will be in the interest of the entire party, but the third reason is its desire to rest its environment after the destruction that was hit during the last two years, and accordingly, Hezbollah will put all its papers at the state and the new era.

From the point of view of Hezbollah, the covenant must succeed one of the conditions for success is the proof of the public opinion that it is able to deter Israel, and this is what the Americans who try to say that collapse, ruin, destruction and wars end up automatically once Hezbollah is twice and that the second option will be development, reconstruction and stability, and on it. The covenant will be able to secure sustainable stability that compensates for the party for the collapse of the military deterrence system. At this time, the party may strengthen its forces and find alternatives or wait for changes in the scene and international and regional circumstances that will return it to the level of a force previously and enjoy in the past years. Therefore, the party’s retreat may be On the military action in southern Litani, long -term and longer than the post -July war.

Also, the rapprochement between the new American administration on the one hand and Iran on the other hand will increase the ability of Hezbollah to absorb current developments and retreat and wait for the settlement or the least waiting for the change of circumstances, so it is likely that the party’s patience for Israeli violations will continue and it is also expected that violations and freedom will continue The Israeli movement, and that a limited way after the end of the February 18 deadline, without there being a serious response from Hezbollah, even if the Israeli military forces remain at some points in the south. Therefore, the party’s performance is expected to devote stability for a stage of time, especially since all expectations talk about Trump’s lack of seriousness in talking about the displacement of the Palestinians, but it raises this matter to give it up in the framework of the settlement with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia as a return to complete the deal of the century.


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