The Army Commander’s fortunes are rising… All eyes are on Thursday’s session and 3 scenarios are on the table!
The period between the January 9 presidential session, which will hold the final word on the possibility of electing a president of the republic on Thursday, or postponing the election to subsequent sessions, is shortening, in light of the blurry picture that still dominates this file, despite the intensification of local contacts and diplomatic movements. To end the vacancy.
He also attended the presidential file in French President Emmanuel Macron’s annual speech before the French ambassadors accredited abroad, where he expressed his concern about the continued vacuum in the Lebanese presidency, expressing his commitment to working towards the success of the political process and electing a president of the republic, provided that this constitutes the return of full legitimate sovereignty over the territories. All Lebanese.
3 possibilities for Thursday’s session
Attention is turning, then, to the session to elect the President of the Republic on Thursday, and sources spoke to electronic “al-Anbaa” about three scenarios in the session, which are as follows:
The first scenario is that the session is held in the presence of all representatives or with a two-thirds majority, and that the electoral process begins with voting for the army commander. If he is lucky and receives 86 votes, he becomes the president of the republic from the first session.
The second scenario is that the search for a president is conducted by absolute majority, meaning that the presidential candidate receives 65 votes.
As for the third scenario, the Council President resorts to adjourning the session and postponing it until after US President Donald Trump arrives at the White House, and learns the fate of the sixty-day truce and what might happen on the sixty-first day.
The leader’s fortunes are better than in the past
While American presidential envoy Amos Hochstein limited his statements after his meeting with Presidents Nabih Berri and Najib Mikati to the ceasefire file between Lebanon and Israel without mentioning the presidential issue, follow-up sources reported that French envoy Jean-Yves Le Drian will conduct a series of contacts with political forces and heads of parliamentary blocs. In order to pass the presidential election and elect a President of the Republic in Thursday’s session.
The follow-up sources, in contact with Al-Anbaa electronic newspaper, pointed out that there was a noticeable change in the parliamentary mood, after the tour of the Saudi envoy, Prince Yazid bin Muhammad bin Farhan, on behalf of the army commander, General Joseph Aoun, and that his chances of reaching Baabda had become better than in the past.
According to the sources, it needs the support of one of the two strong Republican Christian blocs or strong Lebanon, as well as one of the “duo” blocs. If he obtains the support of one of them, Christians and Shiites, he will guarantee his accession to the presidency.
The sources pointed to the positions that were issued yesterday following the meeting of the centrist blocs, and confirmed that the majority of attendees want the army commander, if there is agreement on his name, according to what MP Neama Ephrem said.
As for MP Simon Abi Ramia, he pointed out that the atmosphere of the “quintet” is clear, and Prince Yazid bin Farhan expressed the matter clearly. He said: “The most important thing is for the representatives to agree on one word to prevent the election of a president by smuggling and defeating one party in favor of another.”
Thursday’s session will not end with the election of a president!
For his part, member of the “Strong Lebanon” bloc, MP Farid Al-Bustani, believed that the current political facts, especially the visits of foreign and Arab delegations and their failure to complete the task of bringing viewpoints closer and agreeing between the Lebanese parties on one or more consensual candidates, call, on the one hand, for cautious optimism and do not indicate… Basically, next Thursday’s session may end with the election of a President of the Republic.”
Al-Bustani said in an interview with the Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Anbaa: “What is said about a secret word that President Berri received from external parties to smuggle a president is not worth stopping at, especially since my information confirms that President Berri will manage the president’s election session and the subsequent sessions with wisdom and justice that satisfies everyone.” “.
