These are options presented to Hezbollah

“Georgetown of International Affairs” of the American University of “Georgetown” that “on March 3, 2025, the official of the resource and border file in Hezbollah Nawaf Al -Mousawi conducted an interview with Al -Mayadeen channel to discuss the issue of the last war that the party fought with Israel. When asked about the causes of the defect, Al -Mousawi referred to the party’s tactical weaknesses. The security, and the impact of the loss of military leaders such as Imad Mughniyeh in 2008 and Mustafa Badr Al -Din in 2016. However, the most urgent reasons for the collapse of Hezbollah military party, which was not recognized by Moussaoui or anyone in the party, or touched on it, was his adherence to ideology and his lack of strategic independence from Iran.

Iran and Hezbollah: a double -edged alliance

According to the website, “Hezbollah, a Lebanese political party, includes Lebanese members, a Lebanese support base, and Lebanese representatives in the parliament and the government, but there is no doubt that its beliefs are greatly inspired by the philosophy of the Islamic Republic of Iran. In the end, Iran played a decisive role in establishing Hezbollah in the early eighties, and the party was inspired by its ideas from the Iranian Supreme Leader For decades, based on the Iranian concept of the jurisdiction of the jurist, the ideology of Hezbollah is transferring all political and religious authorities to the Iranian supreme guide, as it is the backbone and the organizational principle of Hezbollah.

The site continued, “Since its founding after the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982, Hezbollah announced its commitment to destroy Israel and liberate Jerusalem. It is not surprising that these slogans will correspond to the official speech of the Iranian leadership. Like Tehran, Hezbollah considers its struggle with Israel essential and consistent, and neither of them wants to normalize or coexist with the Jewish state. Hezbollah and Hezbollah forced Hezbollah and Tehran to negotiate with negotiation Israel, implicit or explicitly, over the years, but peace is not possible. Spider. ”

The site added, “It is difficult to confirm whether Hezbollah sees Israel so weak, however, there is something that calls for suspicion. On May 26, 2000, after Israel withdrew from southern Lebanon, Nasrallah said:“ Israel may seem strong from abroad, but it is easy to destroy and defeat it. ”Perhaps Nasrallah was bold to utter such famous words due to the role of his party in accelerating the expulsion of Israel from the southern of Lebanon after 18 years. This legend of weakness was increasing in the minds of Hezbollah, and reached its climax in 2006. In the summer of that year, the party fought Israel for 34 days, and was not lost time in a “divine victory”, although Israel destroyed most of the southern Lebanon, in addition to Beirut’s southern suburb, where he was and still is the headquarters of Hezbollah.

The site continued, “Israel looks at its conflict with Iran, Hezbollah and Hamas as a fundamental security challenge. Looking at the risks, it is still committed to defending itself against these opponents to ensure its national security. This desire to remain in the survival of some of the strongest and more intelligence capabilities in the world, including dozens of nuclear warheads. The Israeli, which is about $ 25 billion, is the total military spending of Iran and many Arab countries combined. Ignoring these majestic data will be reckless, and this was evident in the latest Israeli review of the military force when the Israeli army weakened both Hezbollah and Hamas, and revealed Iran’s weaknesses by launching accurate strikes on the military infrastructure of the regime in October 2024 in response to an Iranian missile attack And running aircraft. ”

Israeli strengths

According to the website, “Even if Hezbollah resides in its position and the capabilities of Israel accurately, perhaps the result remains the same. Perhaps Tehran’s strategic priorities and its great impact on Hezbollah’s supreme military decisions constituted a decisive factor in Israel’s ability to cause great harm to the party. For Tehran, it is assumed that the basic value of providing Hezbollah with stronger weapons throughout those years is to build an effective deterrent against any Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. Hezbollah is proud of Iranian -made missiles with a range of 500 km, and it can hit any region in Israel. However, it appears that Iran’s supply to Hezbollah with these advanced military regimes does not aim to achieve the declared goals of defeating Israel or liberating Jerusalem, but rather focuses on protecting the vital interests of the Iranian regime and ensuring its survival.

Hezbollah military options

According to the website, “From a purely military perspective, if Hezbollah had freedom to act in isolation from Iran’s influence, and if he was a firm believer in his mission to defeat Israel, he would have been able to choose more effective strategies than those he used on October 8. In fact, he had at least three options. The first option is to invade Galilee through the use of the best and most training Hezbollah fighters, Chaos and panic in all parts of Israel. In this scenario, Hezbollah becomes a strategic opportunity to launch an attack, similar to the lightning war, which would have been a serious security threat to Israel. Fight and accurately against civil and strategic targets within Israel, which makes it difficult for the Israeli army to target two fronts, one against Hezbollah and another against Hamas. At that time, Hezbollah will only support political Hamas. ”

The site continued, “In the end, Hezbollah chose the least effective military strategy: a limited war of attrition that cannot even continue, a war that would provoke the Israeli government enough to suffer severe harm to the party. Hezbollah’s response was on October 8 to the Israeli war against Hamas, coordinating with Iran’s desires. The latter has restricted Hezbollah military activity because it wanted to avoid escalation with Israel. And its endeavor to preserve the power of the alleged deterrence of Hezbollah against Israel, Iran has caused great harm to its Lebanese ally.