A harsh rule against Le Pen .. political exclusion or legal justice?

In a dramatic shift on the French political scene, the French judiciary has ruling a conviction for Marine Le Pen, the leader of the right -wing National Rally Party, on charges of embezzling public funds valued at four million dollars, which led to a violent tremor in the country’s political and economic circles.

The verdict also included the actual prison for two years, in addition to preventing it from running for the presidential elections for a period of five years, which opens a wide door for doubts about its political future, and it carries heavy implications for its party and supporters.

Concluding the volatility of political scales: between political justice and the liquidation of accounts

Marine Le Pen has always been one of the most prominent competitors of French President Emmanuel Macron in the previous election races, as she reached the second round in the presidential elections twice.

Today, with its condemnation of these dangerous charges, the question arises about whether this condemnation is merely an ordinary legal development, or is it part of a political campaign aimed at excluding it from the French political scene permanently.

French political circles are strongly divided into this ruling. Supporters consider that it comes within the framework of the application of justice and reflects that the judiciary is able to hold those responsible for the use of public funds illegally. While opponents of the ruling believe that this issue is only part of a “political execution” masterminded with the aim of destroying the future of the extremist right party in France, and leaving Le Pen away from the electoral scene.

Nasser Zuhair: “The condemnation of Le Pen may contribute to enhancing the popularity of the extreme right.”

In an interview with the “Business with Lubna” program on Sky News Arabia, Nasser Zuhair, head of the Economic and Diplomatic Affairs Department of the European Policy Organization, presented a deep analysis of what is happening, warning that this issue may contribute to enhancing the popularity of the extreme right in France.

Zuhair said: “If this issue is depicted as a systematic political targeting, this may double the popularity of Le Pen and its party among large groups of the French people. Especially in the context of the general feeling of frustration with the traditional political class in France,” Zuhair said.

Zuhair pointed out that the extreme right may succeed in marketing himself as the “victim” targeted by the political establishment in France, which may create a reverse influence that leads to strengthening its popularity.

He explained, “This issue carries complex political dimensions, and it is not unlikely that the extreme right will use it in the context of its battle to expand its popular base.”

A new crisis in France: political and economic divisions deepen

Politically, Zuhair explained that the issue of Marine Le Pen will deepen the divisions within French society, explaining: “This condemnation will not be limited to its impact on Le Pen and its party only, but will affect the electoral process in general. Although Macron may achieve a victory in excluding one of its most prominent competitors, the French society will witness more political polarization between the traditional powers on the one hand, and the populist currents on the one hand Other. ”

Zuhair also noted that this ruling comes at a sensitive time, as France is going through severe economic challenges, as well as geopolitical transformations that may affect its position in the European Union.

He pointed out that the French economic situation is getting more complicated in light of high inflation and slow growth, which increases the difficulty of implementing the economic reforms that Macron promised.

“The increasing protests may disrupt the government’s ability to provide solutions to economic crises, and thus this may lead to negative effects on the image of France at the international level,” according to Nasser Zuhair.

The upcoming elections: Will Le Pen remain an influential force in French politics?

As for the impact of condemnation on the political future of the Pen, Zuhair said: “The exclusion of Le Pen from the presidential race may open the way for new personalities in the far -right current. With a political vacuum in her party, a new leader who has the ability to continue the party’s march may appear in the future.”

In this context, Zuhair suggested that the party may find itself forced to make radical changes to its leadership structure, especially with the emergence of young faces capable of interacting with the demands of the French street.

On the other hand, it is not unlikely that Le Pen, after spending the legal punishment, is not tried to return to the political scene more strongly, taking advantage of its increasing popularity among large groups of the French people who feel angry about the ruling political elite.

Impacts on France within the European Union: strategic variables and diplomatic challenges

On the European level, Zuhair believes that this crisis may also affect the role of France within the European Union. He says: “France represents an essential pillar in the European Union, especially as it has the only nuclear force in the Union, and its strategic location cannot be underestimated.”

He added: “But in light of the internal political situation, the weight of France may be affected within the European Union, as it may find itself in the face of more pressure than other countries led by the extreme right, such as Italy and Sweden.”

Zuhair also stated that internal issues may affect France’s ability to achieve strategic alliances in the future. He pointed out that the transformations in political trends within France may lead to transformations in major European policies, which may hold the future of the European Union in the coming years.

France has a difficult political and economic test

With the condemnation of Marine Le Pen, the French political system enters a new stage full of challenges. While President Macron faces threats from the right -wing right currents, the country seems about to be about to a stage of political chaos that may impede the government’s ability to implement the necessary reforms.

In light of the worsening economic crises, France will face multiple challenges in seeking to maintain its internal stability and economic security on the international scene.

View will be tight to the developments of this issue in the coming weeks and months, as France will have to make decisive strategic decisions on how to manage this political storm, which may constitute the features of the near future of the country. (Sky News)