External interference deepens the Syrian division and minorities looking for independent entities


It is not possible to bet on the stability of the situation in Syria in light of the complications that surround the conflict, from political and sectarian tensions, through the situation in the south and the coast, to the increasing external interference.









After the fall of the previous regime, the city of Homs witnessed wide displacements, as a large number of the people of the Alawite and Shiite sects were displaced to Lebanon, specifically towards the areas of Hermel and the north, while others took refuge in the coastal areas. In Damascus, groups linked to the current President Ahmed al -Shara have operations against houses believed to be related to the previous regime, which has long been affected by some Sunni families.

There is no doubt that the southern Syria is witnessing dangerous developments, as the Israeli forces infiltrated nearly 1500 km in the areas of Jabal Sheikh, the Golan, and Quneitra, with Syrian sources believed that the current regime committed massacres in the Syrian coast aimed at covering up the Israeli intervention, where the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights stated, yesterday, Saturday, that “the number of civilians who were killed in the events of the Syrian coast exceeded 340 civilians, including women and children, while The Israeli Defense Minister, Yisrael Katz, warned of the escalation of violence in Syria, noting that the “Golani” organization of the Headquarters for the Liberation of Al -Sham is committing a massacre of the Alawite population in the region.

According to Katz, Israel will protect itself from any threat coming from Syria, and the Israeli army will remain in the security areas and the Jabal Sheikh highlands, and will continue to protect the Golan and Galilee settlements and will work to keep southern Syria free of weapons and threats. All of this comes, according to Syrian sources, within the framework of a plan aimed at controlling southern Syria, and creating a separated entity by a self -ruling, noting that what is said in Israel about the Golani does not reflect the reality, the latter is the most guarantee of the partition project, and its function is to pave the way for this scheme.

There is no doubt that some minorities began to claim separation, especially in southern Syria, knowing that the people of the Druze community still possess weapons and did not surrender, and this is what is considered for the Alawites a guarantee for these people, especially since they are subjected to massacres after they threw arms, with the same sources tightening that large numbers of Alawites rushed to the Hmeimim base in order to protect the Russian officials, and the sources do not exclude. What is it to seek international protection or cooperate with the Syrian Democratic Forces to address what they are exposed to and to face what they see as an existential threat.

In addition to the tense situation in the north, south and coast, major cities such as Damascus, Aleppo and Homs are witnessing increasing internal disputes. Aleppo stands out as a new struggle, as Turkish influence increases within it, threatening the escalation of conflicts between the sons of the Sunni community, most of whom rejects the model of “Brotherhood rule”.

Power such as the United States, Russia, Turkey and Israel play a decisive role in drawing the Syrian scene, with attempts to create a self -entity in the south with Israeli support and enhance Turkish influence in the north. According to Syrian sources, external interventions on the pretext of supporting the various components will deepen the division, especially since there are security concerns that will pay the components that are classified as minorities to search for independent entities.

The form of a possible division will, according to political circles, will be the following form: an upper state on the coast with Russian support. A Kurdish region in the northeast is supported by an American. A Turkish influence area north includes Idlib and parts of Aleppo. An entity in the south may have a role in it. Damascus, Homs and Aleppo will remain areas of conflict and share influence.


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