Lebanon was the axis .. This is how Iran has developed its influence in 70 years!

In light of these variables, Iran faces a decisive strategic decision: Do you seek to possess nuclear weapons quickly, with the risks of the risk of a protective military strike by the United States and Israel? Or are you looking for a new deal with an American administration led by Donald Trump, which may require a review of its regional policies?

The path of Iranian influence .. Reading in the book Mohsen Melanie

Mohsen Melanie’s book provides an in -depth analysis of how Iran built its regional influence over the past seventy years.

Melanie notes that the alliances established by Iran extend through various covenants, starting from the era of Shah Muhammad Reza Pahlavi (1941-1979), where the Shah supported the Shiite groups in Lebanon and Yemen to confront the Arab national influence.

In this context, the book indicates that the Islamic revolution completed this path by establishing Hezbollah in Lebanon after the Israeli invasion in 1982, and the Houthis supported in Yemen. These groups later contributed to strengthening Iranian influence outside their borders.

The role of the Revolutionary Guards in forming Iranian influence

Melanie believes that the Iran -Iraq war in the 1980s played a decisive role in stabilizing the Iranian revolution, as it helped the rise of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), which adopted the unequal war tactics, and later expanded these tactics to Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.

However, Iran’s influence began to decline in the twenty -first century despite the peak of its power after the American invasion of Iraq in 2003, when Iran was able to expand its influence, taking advantage of the chaos resulting from the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime.

However, the attack launched by Hamas on Israel on October 7, 2023, led to a strategic shift against Iran, as it pushed Israel to end the presence of hostile militias, and the Assad regime in Syria fell as a result of weak support from Russia, Iran and Hezbollah after these events.

Qasim Soleimani was killed and his repercussions

In the book, the role of Qasim Soleimani, the former leader of the Quds Corps, who was the mastermind of the coordination of the axis of the resistance.

The writer believes that his assassination in January 2020 was a turning point that led to Iran’s loss of control of many armed factions, which contributed to the decline in its regional influence.

The real priorities of the Iranian regime

Melanie is wondering whether the confrontation between Iran and America is the main axis of the Iranian regime, but it indicates that the maximum priority for the Iranian leadership is to preserve the Islamic regime, even with the decrease in the people’s support for it.

The writer believes that Tehran’s hostile policy towards Israel and the United States is not only part of a regional strategy, but rather a tool to suppress the internal opposition and legitimize the regime.

Melanie’s book provides an accurate analysis of how Iran is building its regional influence during the past decades, and highlights the challenges it faces in the future.

With the entry of 2025, Iran appears to have a strategic crossroads that may determine its future for years to come. (Sky News Arabia)