Intelligence shortcomings… How did Iran fall into the trap of precise targeting?

With the opening of a new page in the Iranian-Israeli conflict on the territory of Damascus, with an attack on an Iranian diplomatic facility, questions abound about the nature of targeting and how to implement it based on accurate intelligence information.

According to the New York Times, Iranian officials said that the raid that led to the killing of the commander of operations of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard in Syria and Lebanon, Mohammad Reza Zahedi, and other leaders, targeted a “secret” meeting between Iranian intelligence officials and leaders of the Palestinian Jihad movement in the building. Adjacent to the Iranian embassy building in Damascus.

How does Israel obtain its information?

The precise targeting of the building adjacent to the Iranian embassy in Damascus brought to mind what was recently circulated about the mechanisms of leaking security information about the whereabouts of Iranian leaders in Syria and the nature of their meetings.

Press reports said during the recent period of escalation that the Revolutionary Guard conveyed to the Syrian side its “fears about the involvement of the Syrian security forces in leaking information about its forces.”

Informed sources also said that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has reduced the deployment of its senior officers in Syria due to a series of deadly Israeli strikes, and will rely more on factions allied with Tehran to maintain its influence there.

Three of the sources told Reuters that while the ultra-conservatives in Tehran are demanding revenge, Iran’s decision to withdraw senior officers is partly motivated by its concern not to be drawn into a conflict raging across the Middle East.

She added that Iran does not intend to completely withdraw from Syria, and will rely on managing its operations in Syria remotely with the help of Hezbollah.

Intelligence shortcomings
The successive targeting of Iranian leaders in Lebanon and Syria reflects a clear Iranian security deficiency in the areas of influence within which targets are monitored based on accurate information.

With Tehran receiving successive painful strikes with Israel’s assassination of several of its leaders in Syria and Lebanon, experts believe that the fingerprints of Israeli intelligence have become clear in Iranian areas of influence, while Tehran’s ability to respond in kind has declined. (Sky News)


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